rst3

Isaias

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Figured I'd start the thread now.

Screenshot_20200730-230651_Twitter.jpg.005c9b6858cdd6b7d7ff7b5dfaea259f.jpg

 

Average track errors at this range are large. Hundreds of miles. Hence the cone of uncertainty.

But early look is for a tropical storm nearby on Tuesday. 

 

Note the speed. Even if it heads our way it will be racing on by. 

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updated track.

085728_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png.5a4a231d138cc6652c98185c85776ac9.png

 

Fwiw.. there's a "700 mile spread" in model guidance at long range right now. I might wait a few more days before making any plans to fish storm conditions on Tuesday.  

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45 mins ago, FishRatz said:

Its on a  Bob path.

The Cape  region on the right side  will be  bad.

Unless  it goes offshore  completely. 

 

Well the good news is that there's no signs this thing will be anything near as strong as Bob. The atmospheric conditions don't appear conducive to something like that this time around. But it could be a 65-70mph tropical storm, that's for sure.

 

Track should start to get nailed down by late in the weekend.

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2 hours ago, FishRatz said:

Its on a  Bob path.

The Cape  region on the right side  will be  bad.

Unless  it goes offshore  completely. 

 

Bob path? The eye of Bob passed right over Montauk and landed on the Narragansett shoreline.

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It will hit us overnight Sat into Sun, I will let you know what Isais says as it passes by....

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Seems highly uncertain at this point, but could be good for fishing (except tiny pelagics) if we get good onshore winds and you hit the timing right. Looks more like a Tuesday timing for the early wind runup from the storm, but too early to say. 

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Damn the weather report for wind said this weekend would have strong winds but now it's not looking like that will happen. Hopefully things change over night. In my face please (that's what she said).

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42 mins ago, MakoMike said:

Bob path? The eye of Bob passed right over Montauk and landed on the Narragansett shoreline.

yes and this looks like that too. The point being its the east side of the storm. east of the eye, the onshore flow, making the most storm surge.

And that puts the Cape at more risk.

 

 

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it's 2020 so this thing is sure to blow up into something...

 

here is the events of the last 12 1/2 months at my job; gasoline truck rollover 12k gallons in the street, direct hit from a tornado, global pandemic, now this....it's bound to happen

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