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April weather

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3 hours ago, bassturds said:

When will this pattern change. At least it’s almost May so it will be getting better soon!

Not for at least two weeks. 

5ea1a8573c18b_814temp.new(1).gif.660d078faf3e462e23a05adf2a202472.gif

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I’ll take this pattern all day. Will keep the bait closer to shore longer. Stabilizes a mild winter. I’m certain the numbers don’t suggest that, that’s just a personal gut feeling when it comes to fishing.
 
Some of my best seasons have occurred in the last 5 years where we’ve had this trend of a mild winter with colder temps extending into May, even June. The big fish will still move when they always do, but they should  have more incentive to stick around longer. 
 

 

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two mornings this week i've been scouting in SE Mass just after sunrise and the temp reading in my truck were in the 20s...in late april...

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1 hour ago, rst3 said:

Not for at least two weeks. 

5ea1a8573c18b_814temp.new(1).gif.660d078faf3e462e23a05adf2a202472.gif

Wtf took so long!  Been waiting for your reply for hours. :)

 

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Posted (edited) · Report post

 

5 hours ago, rst3 said:

Not for at least two weeks. 

5ea1a8573c18b_814temp.new(1).gif.660d078faf3e462e23a05adf2a202472.gif

Little more information as to what is going on, and where we go from here.

 

1) The polar vortex is currently weakening, and has split in two. This is likely contributing to the cold funneling into our area of the country.

 

2) A pulse of strong energy is forecast to transmit into the stratosphere, where it should finish off the PV for the season. Thereafter, high pressure will dominate the Arctic stratosphere for the summer.

savetweetvid_EWSutAbXsAY7HXN.gif.99a3bac45c6442bc3a0ac9a3a07f32af.gif

 

3) "ok great. That's Greek to me." 

> What does this mean?

a) The PV is, effectively, wrapping for the season.

b) The last pool of winter cold is currently draining south. After that, the Arctic has been tapped.

20200423_120509.jpg.fae491f2851b03bf215e41ee607effa5.jpg

 

c) The jet stream will, eventually, start to shift north, as it does every spring. This will allow more frequent pulses of warmth to push into New England.

 

d) Near term.. we drain the last pool of deep cold.

 

e) Medium term: The flow may become more zonal (West to East) in fairly short order. For us, this is less chilly, off the Pacific. 

 

Late April/Early May: may see some cool rainstorms, and the dreaded springtime "cutoff lows" that persist for days. Not quite as cold.

 

f) Long term: summer moves in. 

Odds: 100%

1124738996_7669.jpg.f9b6656386b77e4b977571144e719fe7.jpg

Edited by rst3
"East to West" is not the same as West to East

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23 hours ago, rst3 said:

 

Little more information as to what is going on, and where we go from here.

 

1) The polar vortex is currently weakening, and has split in two. This is likely contributing to the cold funneling into our area of the country.

 

2) A pulse of strong energy is forecast to transmit into the stratosphere, where it should finish off the PV for the season. Thereafter, high pressure will dominate the Arctic stratosphere for the summer.

savetweetvid_EWSutAbXsAY7HXN.gif.99a3bac45c6442bc3a0ac9a3a07f32af.gif

 

3) "ok great. That's Greek to me." 

> What does this mean?

a) The PV is, effectively, wrapping for the season.

b) The last pool of winter cold is currently draining south. After that, the Arctic has been tapped.

20200423_120509.jpg.fae491f2851b03bf215e41ee607effa5.jpg

 

c) The jet stream will, eventually, start to shift north, as it does every spring. This will allow more frequent pulses of warmth to push into New England.

 

d) Near term.. we drain the last pool of deep cold.

 

e) Medium term: The flow may become more zonal (West to East) in fairly short order. For us, this is less chilly, off the Pacific. 

 

Late April/Early May: may see some cool rainstorms, and the dreaded springtime "cutoff lows" that persist for days. Not quite as cold.

 

f) Long term: summer moves in. 

Odds: 100%

1124738996_7669.jpg.f9b6656386b77e4b977571144e719fe7.jpg

I think I’ll leave the weather reports to you. Nice graphics showing what’s going on.

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