SalmonAndStriper Stalker

Ice time

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On 1/1/2019 at 8:19 PM, rst3 said:

Nnnyeah.... gotta say, you might just be right.

 

Ive been hanging my hat on a cold spell opening up mid month and into February-- but that remains to be seen. Too many weeks out to really get a good bead on things. What is clear is that the first 2 weeks of January will feature "seasonable cool" but no deep cold. Here's the 2wk outlook:

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Screenshot_20190101-202234_Twitter.jpg.3cb448c391b86ae549877b79a5a3b86f.jpg

Screenshot_20190101-202247_Twitter.jpg.b3d9dff521501c7acf4a1dcc9ddacbc1.jpg

 

AFTER January 15th, if we're going to get hit with ice building cold, its gotta happen pretty quickly, as the sun and season starts to turn in February, and icy cold gets harder to come by after Feb 15th. 

 

I still favor a colder second half of January than the 1st half.....but will it be enough to build ice like I'd hoped? Cant say for sure. Trend over the years has really been just like you said: milder, March-like winters

Screenshot_20190101-202301_Twitter.jpg.0f3a2b60443eaa8e115d6012f7c9726c.jpg

 

Today:

Screenshot_20190101-203711_Twitter.jpg.f28e29cc15a228e9e78f371df69dac24.jpg

Update:

 

Now I'm not [yet] sayin', "gas up your augers fellas"... 

 

I'm just saying. 

 

Seems like we could be headed in the right direction.

 

(Montgomery Burns voice: 'yesss, egggsellent')

<rubs hands expectedly>

 

Screenshot_20190104-223110_Twitter.jpg.f1cb68a0bc4a65e1da48b813852410fc.jpg

Screenshot_20190104-223131_Twitter.jpg.0cf353e0c4cb3e3fc7d82d41d7bbd10c.jpg

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Some more indications now showing up of the pattern switching mid-month.

 

204 hours out, so big grain of salt here...but at least this model is pointing in right direction. Suggestive of 2-3 day arctic blast to get things started.

 

Modeled temps at dawn, mid month

Screenshot_20190106-113852_Twitter.jpg.7fb2b4aa76254b0b8443e8c95bf9078c.jpg

 

We'll see how it shakes out in reality.. and how cold it actually gets..but methinks we are getting closer to ending the longstanding pattern of 40s and rain, and replacing it with more typical January temps and precip( ie: snow).

 

I think everyone is sick of the rain. Quabbin is above 100% capacity-- a first for mid-winter since it was built

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Posted (edited) · Report post

I think Wed is it for awhile.

Screenshot_20190107-134106_WeatherBug.jpg.778abc2079e409759406164074839012.jpg

 

After Wed, decent chance the pattern may to be shifting. Might get some ice time after all 

 

January

Screenshot_20190107-140411_Twitter.jpg.c6341e48f532abb07a0a66b2fefa9f06.jpg

 

February

Screenshot_20190107-140220_Twitter.jpg.469949cb578855e509f5c01c84801baf.jpg

 

Edited by rst3

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Just saying I'm glad I didn't spend the money on either refurbing my gas auger or buying a new one.    Though the new hand auger I bought last year is ready to go.     Problem is that unless we get a good 6" of ice on SEMASS ponds by end of January, we never seem to keep fishable ice for very long.   Days get longer and that darn ball of fire in the sky makes the ice all melty!

 

 

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Ya, you gotta hate your wife or love to Drink to go ICE fishing. And I'm happily divorced and don't drink much!!!:beatin:

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Got on the ice over the holidays with one of my daughters.  She got a damn nice bass, her first 2 northerns, and a few other bass.

48406102_10156737584351006_2761579386242

 

48423803_10156737584301006_6098663465067

 

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Hopefully this cold weather sets up and we can get on some ice locally.

 

sam

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1 hour ago, sams said:

Got on the ice over the holidays with one of my daughters.  She got a damn nice bass, her first 2 northerns, and a few other bass.

 

 

Hopefully this cold weather sets up and we can get on some ice locally.

 

sam

 

Nice!I used to love taking my girls out ice fishin.     I was hoping that we'd have ice this week while my oldest is home from college :(  

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The much discussed pattern change mid-month appears to be taking shape.

Screenshot_20190110-101905_Twitter.jpg.dcc400c3cd548ede68bebcceb8b1609b.jpg

5c37660f9737f_giphy(4).gif.d17ef2c76012f7811e630058fee72895.gif

 

How long it holds remains an open question.. 

 

2weeks?

3?

6??

AWSpdJz.gif.66b1245b1f2198395c9255bf477b5745.gif

 

Earliest of early forecasts hint at least a little while. My chips are down for longer vs shorter. 

 

And then when winter breaks it breaks for good--contributing to a reasonable, more temperate early spring, vs a cold and stormy March/April like last years crap.

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Posted (edited) · Report post

Don't matter how cold it gets with high wind, at least on the bigger ponds.

We need a couple of those single digit no wind nights to catch up.

I'm looking hard at a trip north. If nothing else to shut up my kid who was pumped for ice this year.

 

Reading my old logs from the 80s, I never missed a season of ice, usually fished christmas week.

Since 2000 I have taken seasons off completely and fished half a dozen times or less with no ice till January on several others. 

Some of the missed chances were from crazy deep snow but warm winters and decreased motivation for thin ice is mostly to blame. 

Edited by mikez2

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We’ve got the cold temps, now we need the wind to calm down. I drove by my local lake this afternoon hoping to see some ice and there were 1’ waves. 

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