tomkaz

PG DAY-AFTER THE 2018 ELECTION DISCUSSION

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Time to analyze, reflect and look forward. Figured worth a new thread for the AARs and uninformed analysis, no? 

 

Someone last night wondered how many seats the GOP might have lost due a Libertarian running in the race as a third or fourth option. Here’s your first, Joe Manchin surviving in WV due to the L pulling more than 4% of the WV vote. Sure, you can’t necessarily say 100% of the L vote would have voted R without the L in the race but it is possible. 

 

BC90FE35-DC9A-4F37-B8CF-4BEE6437513D.jpeg.1b10e4ac882b8e1135e5c38e6f62d1fc.jpeg 

Edited by tomkaz

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Posted (edited) · Report post

Well, this one is still close but it looks like the Green Party candidate is mucking this up for Sinema, who is probably to the Left of most Greens. That’s ironic.

 

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Edited by tomkaz

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Good.  People that say our votes are wasted are dead wrong.

 

 

NH is a wipeout.  House gonr Senate gone, Executive council gone and we have a trump style R governor (lib).

 

Sad day here.  Evil wins, as it is wont to do.

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We tend to look only if a Dem or Rep won, but it still comes up to individual matchups  Dems just don’t have strong enough candidates. And while the economy is doing well those R pockets are still suffering 

 

we have a very large portion of the country who watches fox and believes the run of the mill conspiracy theories. That’s a burden we will carry with us for quite some time. 

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And HERE it comes, the "Democrats won the Senate popular vote, this Democracy is broken" narrative to the know-nothings to argue for rule by their mob

 

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10 mins ago, Little said:

Good.  People that say our votes are wasted are dead wrong.

 

 

NH is a wipeout.  House gonr Senate gone, Executive council gone and we have a trump style R governor (lib).

 

Sad day here.  Evil wins, as it is wont to do.

Why do you say evil ? What’s so bad in N H ?

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Posted (edited) · Report post

FWIW, if AZ and MT senate seats, currently with Rs in lead, stay GOP, that will give the GOP a 55 Senate count. That will not only reflect a red wave relative to history, but will make it far easier for Trump and McConnell to get staff and judicial nominees confirmed. Especially so with McCain no longer there and Graham 2. 

 

ETA: This level of GOP lead will help neuter the Dem House from attempting or succeeding in many of their campaign "promises".

 

Repealing the Trump tax reform, dead. 

 

Jamming through a climate change bill, dead. 

 

Impeachment, dead. 

Edited by tomkaz

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25 mins ago, tomkaz said:

Time to analyze, reflect and look forward. Figured worth a new thread for the AARs and uninformed analysis, no? 

 

Someone last night wondered how many seats the GOP might have lost due a Libertarian running in the race as a third or fourth option. Here’s your first, Joe Manchin surviving in WV due to the L pulling more than 4% of the WV vote. Sure, you can’t necessarily say 100% of the L vote would have voted R without the L in the race but it is possible. 

 

BC90FE35-DC9A-4F37-B8CF-4BEE6437513D.jpeg.1b10e4ac882b8e1135e5c38e6f62d1fc.jpeg 

Does that mean you were mad when Nader drew votes from Gore?

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BTW, even though several news agencies and Scott declared Scott winner, Nelson has not conceded. Scott lead is around 0.5% which could trigger mandatory recount. Given we no longer have chads, the recount should be easy and will focus on absentee and provisional ballots. 

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12 mins ago, patchyfog said:

Does that mean you were mad when Nader drew votes from Gore?

Nope, but I was when Perot handed us WJC. 

 

This is not a matter of being fairminded, this is pure partisanship. 

 

But since you brought it up, were Nader votes decisive in any single state's EC vote? I can’t recall. 

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So how much of this loss is Trump's fault?  Aside from the ability to still make some appointments, he's been effectively neutered.

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Though I left CT behind in 2015, this saddens me

 

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Give them enough time and CT Democrats will "dig up" enough late votes in Bridgeport, New Haven and Hartford to drag the Dem across the line. I remain fully convinced that Malloy's first win was fixed in that way. 

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Just now, Nessmuk said:

So how much of this loss is Trump's fault?  Aside from the ability to still make some appointments, he's been effectively neutered.

No, actually, with the exception of the investigations, could make his re-election in 2020 a bit easier. 

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