rst3

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About rst3

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  • About Me:
    Bass, year-round. Tuna commercially
  • Interests (Hobbies, favorite activities, etc.):
    Weather
  • What I do for a living:
    Professional sh¡tposter

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  1. Enforcement of the policy is relegated to local boards of health, not the police, and compliance is based on "the honor system." I would be surprised to see even a single fine handed out. My read on the policy is that, basically, an individual would have to contact their local board of health and self-report they've not done the quarantine. So unless one has a predilection for self-imposed fines, (and the phone number for their town's board of health) I think MA folks fishing a few hrs in RI will be ok. Heck, even back in April when RI had the state police involved..(a single state police checkpoint), I simply drove right past it when returning from a Connecticut fishing trip.
  2. Geez that sucks man. (Tree damage; though I suppose the "no fishing" part sucks too) On the positive side.. a swingset is relatively easy to replace. A big tree into the house? Yikes. Much bigger problems. That squall line had some legitimate storm cells for sure.
  3. Yes. Track shows the storm center As far as wind shift.. Isaias wasn't a "pure" tropical system by the time it got to New England. It was a hybrid -- transitioning to an extratropical cyclone. So instead of a symmetrical wind field like a pure warm-core system (hurricane/tropical storm)...... Ex) 1938 Hurricane ...Isaias had a squall line feature typical of baroclinic systems (eg: noreasters/regular low pressure storms). A dry slot blasted in behind the much more humid squall line. So in eastern Massachusetts.. the wind shift "roughly" went from south -- before and during the squall line.. to SW, right after the line went through. For exact wind measurements though, we can use data from weather stations like marine buoys. Here's the Buzzards Bay buoy. Sustained wind peaked at 40kts, and the direction shifted from *appx 130° (SE) to ~195° (SSW), before slowly becoming more SW
  4. Radarscope "PRO" 10 bucks a year, but it's good. Has a lightning feature that the free Radarscope app doesn't have. Shows T-storm future tracks, "severe"T-Storm/Marine Warning boxes, etc.
  5. Soon come.
  6. Last Update: Windy App forecast for Pt. Judith. If accurate, storm looks a little faster. Wind starting few hrs earlier. If you're in RI.. and you get out of work at 4, to fish at 5, it may be peaking/ripping right when you get there. And that's not ideal. So if you have the option to start earlier in the afternoon probably not a bad idea. Anytime between 12 and 3 might work well to start casting.
  7. Isaias downgraded to tropical storm overnight. At 7am, 65mph sustained winds in spots. Nothing else is new, same deal: • Going to be a lightning quick mover • Gusty-er than typical storm of same size • Same wind forecast as yesterday Structure of situation is this: • Narrow squall band where it says "tornado risk" probably will contain worst winds for our region. • West side is dumping water Here's the current Dover radar so you can see what the actual storm looks like. Put names to faces sort of thing Anyone fishing mid-afternoon on, just pull up a radar image on your phone and there'll be no surprises. If it's getting here an hour or two earlier? ..the radar will tell you that. Official discussion by NHC if anyone's interested *** Feel kinda bad I shanked the fcast a bit ..but as Billy Bob Thornton says to the kid in "Bad Santa" Well they can't all be winners, can they? Have fun out there.
  8. Yes, that's pretty common in strong vertical (wind)shear situations. Yesterday had 25-30kts of shear. That's a lot. Enough to kill some storms completely. The shear will blow the thunderstorms right off one side..over to the down-shear side of the storm. Tropical systems can and do bounce back from that, just takes a little time..and lower shear values.. for the storm to build back the thunderstorm rings and central core structure
  9. Here's the latest modeled *rough idea of what to expect tomorrow for rain and wind (* rough idea = best estimate from 24 hours out; reality turns out much different sometimes..but here's an idea of how things might go) 1) 5pm Heavy rains concentrated in western New England. My best guess is the strongest winds will co-occur with the heaviest downpours in squalls. Around 5-6, RI smacked by vigorous squall line 2) 8pm Worst of squall line through RI, wind maxima shifts north and east 3) Peak winds for storm As mentioned, these numbers likely occur during heaviest squalls. Before and after the heavy downpours, wind eases some but still vigorous *** If anything changes overnight I'll post before guys fish, but just keep in mind the worst conditions may hit you as soon as 4 or 5pm
  10. lol Yes, Tim... ...that's what you said Yeah. You, me, and everyone else.. plus robots, computers, and witches.. had this thing barely holding on into New England. But sometimes they are a little more robust than what the clouds show. Ex) Before Cat5 hurricane Andrew crushed Florida in '91.. it was a developing tropical storm that almost dissipated in the mid-Atlantic. But the airplane which flew into it at that time found a vigorous leftover circulation. This kept Andrew propped up until it found more favorable atmospherics further down its path.
  11. Good guess-- it was Barnegat. Oh, quick correction-> remember that weak, lousy, sick, pathetic tropical storm I've been laughing at for days?? Hahaha.. ehhhh. It blew up on the Carolina coast; Hurricane Isaias now raking the coast with 100mph gusts \_ (ツ)_/
  12. Welp! ..sometimes these things can surprise you! Both man and computer model did not expect the storm to blow up on the coast. I mean, it's one thing if some amateur weather nerd fisherman shanks a forecast.. but I don't think anyone I follow (actual trained scientists/professionals) or any model I saw had Isaias coming onto the carolina beaches ..with a belt of 100mph winds. Buuut that's what we have. Purple area inside dark blue likely gusting 100+. Coming on shore shortly. Interesting that the last run of a basically "now-cast" model (2 hour lead time) has the same thing
  13. Well this is interesting. Up to 85 sustained, with a gust to 96 at Frying Pan Shoals (an elevated platform.. but still) Isaias ramping up the winds quick..super last minute. So here's the analysis (not mine)-- As Isaias is approaching the coast, you can see it start to come under the influence of the energetic trough to the west. Key to note here is that drier air(yellow sweeping to east) is already impinging on the storm, but it is intensifying in that area anyways. That suggests the intensification is part of a baroclinic process (think "organizing/developing nor'Easter" off Cape Hatteras in winter) and not due to increasing development of the hurricane's tropical "warm core" engine. Certainly intensified in the last hours before landfall much more than I figured, that's for sure. Q: will this increase in wind speed tonight..translate to a windier time (than forecast) for us tomorrow? A: lol..I have noo idea. Maybee? > Seems smart to prepare for fishing a stronger storm than forecast though, if you're heading out tomorrow. > Last thing you want to do is be out on rocks.. at sunset.. with the tide coming on strong.. and it ramps up in a half hour from 45 to well over 60
  14. Well let me add a disclaimer that I don't fish all that many storms, much less tropical systems. So my perspective on swells and wind-generated waves in SNE could be completely off/totally wrong.. and most storm veterans would say they prefer the swell setup like you described. I've only fished one storm in NJ and it was a mild nor'Easter, in Nov, that didn't have a run-up of swells beforehand. Just wind-driven waves with winds in the high 20s to 30mph. Fishable and productive conditions in that scenario lasted roughly 6-12hrs. Weed wasn't over the top during that time though the water was definitely tubid. Picked up some pocket bass off a well known jetty, then as the tide flipped some big girls moved into the inlet chasing 4-5" peanuts. Memorable storm for me and a bunch of NJ Natives
  15. Because some people like to rile up the masses and trigger responses. Doesn't matter the forum or website. It's just so that they can feel a sense of control. Truly bizarre psychology. Other trolling topics include "over the top questions" that just end up wasting peoples time as they type out answers. But again, the troll is just in it for control.: Ex: "Hi. My screen name is Billy BigBass and I have 1 post. I have a zebco: can I fish the Big Dytch with it for big cow stripper slobs?" When people start ignoring the more obvious ridiculous posts, they make them more believable. That way it's much harder to guess whether it's a troll..or someone who does in fact have a real question or thread starter.